Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.734112 1.995405 2.282709 2.622069 3.012040 3.446244 3.966566
2025-06-01 1.351298 1.688421 2.090301 2.604799 3.246363 4.020605 5.027017
2025-06-08 1.073274 1.439879 1.908471 2.551603 3.412250 4.525743 6.078684
2025-06-15 0.940109 1.343300 1.891512 2.691832 3.832084 5.401304 7.731032
2025-06-22 0.808635 1.222644 1.817640 2.735743 4.119473 6.132302 9.293310
2025-06-29 0.688013 1.094974 1.709967 2.707844 4.290533 6.711519 10.712505
2025-07-06 0.571151 0.952643 1.556263 2.581828 4.286243 7.016327 11.744139
2025-07-13 0.523112 0.911306 1.552267 2.688796 4.661317 7.958802 13.922644
2025-07-20 0.485653 0.881077 1.560443 2.814056 5.079624 9.021119 16.444770
2025-07-27 0.447678 0.843701 1.549946 2.902856 5.442560 10.029609 19.004733
2025-08-03 0.407838 0.796737 1.515113 2.940761 5.714766 10.905357 21.433736
2025-08-10 0.357943 0.723463 1.421523 2.854014 5.737690 11.317341 23.027824
2025-08-17 0.306712 0.641925 1.304350 2.711212 5.643785 11.516499 24.281593
2025-08-24 0.275808 0.597180 1.253717 2.695487 5.804612 12.242816 26.723057
2025-08-31 0.245317 0.548867 1.189224 2.641642 5.878188 12.800574 28.892262
2025-09-07 0.235608 0.544194 1.215775 2.787571 6.403525 14.384196 33.540621
2025-09-14 0.218712 0.520905 1.198617 2.833480 6.711846 15.534897 37.378833
2025-09-21 0.198342 0.486586 1.152015 2.804829 6.843819 16.304965 40.439392
2025-09-28 0.173785 0.438700 1.067616 2.674423 6.715073 16.451212 42.014776
2025-10-05 0.166628 0.432551 1.081351 2.785320 7.192018 18.107514 47.588981
2025-10-12 0.160925 0.429244 1.101519 2.915140 7.734927 19.998673 54.044821
2025-10-19 0.153533 0.420475 1.106784 3.007168 8.193012 21.737170 60.356578
2025-10-26 0.144166 0.405078 1.092924 3.046457 8.516341 23.169621 66.052262